INVENTORY or ABSORPATION RATE
A way to look how the homes are selling. How much do I have? I much did I use?  Supply vs Demand. Simple.......right?

Appraisers call this Absorption Rate! The numbers below would be similiar for the 1004MC form appraiser use.  (Learn more)

Another method is simple inventory, however it assumes all the active inventory will sell, which it does not. Therefore this method will slightly overstate the inventory, but is more accurate than using the DOM, or Cumulative DOM as reported in MLS.  This method also counts the days from "Off Market" to "Close Date", however it will ALWAYS do this, therefore the trend is the same.  

MLS will provide the DOM of typically the LAST listing, not the 3 or 4 prior listings. This is more apparent in a downward market.  I would like to share detail examples, but it violates IMLS rules and regulations. (per IMLS)  However, agents which have access to IMLS can search the following addresses to understand the issue more.   Or just do this very simple search, let MLS tell you the Average DOM for SOLD for 6 months, they look at the same search filter, but ACTIVE.  The ACTIVE DOM right now will be 50 - 60% higher!

      1) 2301 W Hillway
     
2) 7490 N Waterlilly Ave. 
      
3) 25933 Chandler Drive 
     
4) 3272 S Quarterswing Way
    
 5) 2030 W Havenwood Ave
     
6) 1862 Grand Teton
      7)
12458 N Upper Ridge
      8) 304 S Rivermont Ln

Inventory is one key in understanding if a market is adding, reducing or holding steady. Inventory impacts days on the market (DOM), inventory along with the average sales price and average sales ratio are tools to understand the market.

Were does Ada County stand? Depends on what market.  Ada County overall inventory as March 1, 2010 is about 9.6 months, just looking at single family homes, about 9.0 months.

Reviewing just Single Family, last 3 months been tracking around 8.4 months inventory, based on 12 month prior sales.  

 

 

Data Source : Intermountain MLS

Report Date: March 1, 2010

Date Filter: 3/1/2009 - 2/28/2010

www.hennesseyappraisals.com

County

Status & Est Inventory

TYPE OF LISTING

TOTAL

Single Family

Single Family with Acreage

Condo

Townhs

Ada

Sold

5655

207

146

285

6293

Active

3441

210

277

236

4164

Pending

786

37

24

39

886

Inventory

9.0

14.3

24.7

11.6

9.6

Canyon

Sold

2534

285

0

35

2854

Active

1682

329

2

45

2058

Pending

378

56

0

3

437

Inventory

9.8

16.2

N/A

16.5

10.5

*Estimated from 12 months sales. 12 Month Sales / (Current Active + Current Pending )= Inventory

Inventory Units = Months

Single Family Only

County

MLS Area

Current Active + Pend Listings

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

4215

5655

8.9

2742

9.2

990

12.8

Canyon

Several

2053

2534

9.7

1312

9.4

518

11.9

Gem

Several

91

116

9.4

56

9.8

21

13.0

Elmore

Several

295

245

14.4

101

17.5

41

21.6

Payette

Several

190

139

16.4

65

17.5

29

19.7

Single Family Only - Date Range: 3/1/2009 - 2/28/2010. Intermountain MLS

County

City

MLS Area

Active + Pending

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Boise

100

260

287

10.9

137

11.4

41

19.0

200

79

121

7.8

60

7.9

15

15.8

300

255

417

7.3

197

7.8

76

10.1

400

265

345

9.2

153

10.4

53

15.0

500

112

164

8.2

78

8.6

28

12.0

550

418

579

8.7

293

8.6

104

12.1

600

192

212

10.9

111

10.4

34

16.9

650

431

497

10.4

235

11.0

102

12.7

800

259

336

9.3

153

10.2

55

14.1

Eagle

900

309

344

10.8

161

11.5

62

15.0

Star

950

144

177

9.8

79

10.9

37

11.7

Meridian

1000

173

244

8.5

122

8.5

45

11.5

1010

38

51

8.9

24

9.5

12

9.5

1020

355

538

7.9

273

7.8

107

10.0

1030

626

863

8.7

396

9.5

154

12.2

Kuna

1100

283

475

7.1

368

4.6

63

13.5

Canyon

Nampa

1250

332

420

9.5

247

8.1

94

10.6

1260

527

652

9.7

306

10.3

126

12.5

1270

370

413

10.8

214

10.4

89

12.5

Melba

1265

8

9

10.7

3

16.0

2

12.0

Caldwell

1275

148

211

8.4

107

8.3

42

10.6

1280

434

605

8.6

312

8.3

120

10.9

Middleton

1285

149

164

10.9

94

9.5

33

13.5

Other

1290

29

18

19.3

10

17.4

4

21.8

Single Family Only - Date Range: 3/1/2009 - 2/28/2010. Intermountain MLS

County

City

Price Range

Active + Pending 

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

$0 - $99,999

239

205

14.0

130

11.0

62

11.6

$100,00 - $199,999

2519

3523

8.6

1733

8.7

574

13.2

$200,000 - $299,999

866

1221

8.5

556

9.3

230

11.3

$300,000 - $449,999

377

474

9.5

220

10.3

91

12.4

$450,000 - over

210

152

16.6

57

22.1

14

45.0

Canyon

Several

$0 - $99,999

887

1117

9.5

633

8.4

272

9.8

$100,00 - $199,999

996

1262

9.5

610

9.8

212

14.1

$200,000 - $299,999

130

105

14.9

46

17.0

22

17.7

$300,000 - $449,999

29

38

9.2

17

10.2

10

8.7

$450,000 - over

9

0

N/A**

0

N/A**

0

N/A**

**N/A = Lack of Sales to Forecast

Below $99,999 does not included "0SLD" = Zero Sold Price or $1,000 Active (Auction) listings

 

Single Family with ACREAGE

Must have More than 1 Acre.

County

MLS Area

Current Active + Pend Listings

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

288

231

15.0

123

14.0

55

15.7

Canyon

Several

399

307

15.6

156

15.3

70

17.1

Gem

Several

111

52

25.6

25

26.6

8

41.6

Elmore

Several

57

32

21.4

13

26.3

4

42.8

Payette

Several

98

41

28.7

17

34.6

7

42.0

 

 

 

Single Family with ACREAGE - Date Range: 3/1/2009 - 2/28/2010. Intermountain MLS

County

City

Price Range

Active + Pending

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

$0 - $99,999

2

4

6.0

3

4.0

3

2.0

$100,00 - $199,999

31

30

12.4

20

9.3

9

10.3

$200,000 - $299,999

54

44

14.7

22

14.7

9

18.0

$300,000 - $449,999

71

66

12.9

32

13.3

14

15.2

$450,000 - over

129

80

19.4

42

18.4

19

20.4

Canyon

Several

$0 - $99,999

18

16

13.5

9

12.0

3

18.0

$100,00 - $199,999

124

87

17.1

54

13.8

23

16.2

$200,000 - $299,999

135

125

13.0

58

14.0

27

15.0

$300,000 - $449,999

81

69

14.1

31

15.7

16

15.2

$450,000 - over

43

8

64.5

3

86.0

1

129.0

**N/A = Lack of Sales to Forecast

Below $99,999 does not included "0SLD" = Zero Sold Price or $1,000 Active (Auction) listings

 


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