INVENTORY or ABSORPATION RATE
A way to look how the homes are selling. How much do I have? I much did I use?  Supply vs Demand. Simple.......right?

Appraisers call this Absorption Rate! The numbers below would be similiar for the 1004MC form appraiser use.  (Learn more)

Another method is simple inventory, however it assumes all the active inventory will sell, which it does not. Therefore this method will slightly overstate the inventory, but is more accurate than using the DOM, or Cumulative DOM as reported in MLS.  This method also counts the days from "Off Market" to "Close Date", however it will ALWAYS do this, therefore the trend is the same.  

MLS will provide the DOM of typically the LAST listing, not the 3 or 4 prior listings. This is more apparent in a downward market.  I would like to share detail examples, but it violates IMLS rules and regulations. (per IMLS)  However, agents which have access to IMLS can search the following addresses to understand the issue more.   Or just do this very simple search, let MLS tell you the Average DOM for SOLD for 6 months, they look at the same search filter, but ACTIVE.  The ACTIVE DOM right now will be 50 - 60% higher!

      1) 2301 W Hillway
     
2) 7490 N Waterlilly Ave. 
      
3) 25933 Chandler Drive 
     
4) 3272 S Quarterswing Way
    
 5) 2030 W Havenwood Ave
     
6) 1862 Grand Teton
      7)
12458 N Upper Ridge
      8) 304 S Rivermont Ln

Inventory is one key in understanding if a market is adding, reducing or holding steady. Inventory impacts days on the market (DOM), inventory along with the average sales price and average sales ratio are tools to understand the market.

Were does Ada County stand? Depends on what market.  Ada County overall inventory as Aug 1, 2010 is about 8.5 months, just looking at single family homes, about 7.7 months.

 

 

County

Status & Est Inventory

TYPE OF LISTING

TOTAL

Single Family

Single Family with Acreage

Condo

Townhouse

Ada

Sold

6199

242

191

285

6917

Active

3305

237

317

263

4122

Pending

713

33

16

28

790

Inventory*

7.8

13.4

20.9

12.3

8.5

Canyon

Sold

2900

346

1

48

3295

Active

1529

351

1

48

1929

Pending

321

45

0

6

372

Inventory*

7.7

13.7

12.0

13.5

8.4

*Estimated from 12 months sales. 12 Month Sales / (Current Active + Current Pending )= Inventory

Inventory Units = Months

Single Family Only

County

MLS Area

Current Active/Pend Listings

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

4018

6199

7.8

3429

7.0

1509

8.0

Canyon

Several

1850

2900

7.7

1577

7.0

721

7.7

Gem

Several

103

124

10.0

68

9.1

40

7.7

Elmore

Several

276

230

14.4

128

12.9

67

12.4

Payette

Several

207

152

16.3

87

14.3

49

12.7

Single Family Only - Date Range: 9/1/2009 - 8/31/2010. Intermountain MLS

County

City

MLS Area

Active / Pending

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Boise

100

271

319

10.2

181

9.0

87

9.3

200

85

141

7.2

80

6.4

39

6.5

300

252

431

7.0

232

6.5

97

7.8

400

275

340

9.7

187

8.8

79

10.4

500

125

167

9.0

88

8.5

25

15.0

550

374

630

7.1

332

6.8

153

7.3

600

192

265

8.7

154

7.5

75

7.7

650

420

609

8.3

370

6.8

158

8.0

800

271

358

9.1

205

7.9

88

9.2

Eagle

900

274

394

8.3

231

7.1

94

8.7

Star

950

129

198

7.8

118

6.6

59

6.6

Meridian

1000

190

257

8.9

134

8.5

64

8.9

1010

36

65

6.6

41

5.3

16

6.8

1020

328

573

6.9

297

6.6

134

7.3

1030

540

929

7.0

527

6.1

227

7.1

Kuna

1100

236

488

5.8

219

6.5

81

8.7

Canyon

Nampa

1250

318

538

7.1

290

6.6

129

7.4

1260

495

695

8.5

386

7.7

179

8.3

1270

321

478

8.1

262

7.4

119

8.1

Melba

1265

8

10

9.6

7

6.9

4

6.0

Caldwell

1275

122

229

6.4

123

6.0

52

7.0

1280

383

657

7.0

340

6.8

152

7.6

Middleton

1285

132

205

7.7

111

7.1

55

7.2

Other

1290

28

22

15.3

11

15.3

6

14.0

Single Family Only - Date Range: 9/1/2009 -8/31/2010. Intermountain MLS

County

City

Price Range

Active

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

$0 - $99,999

401

434

11.1

303

7.9

154

7.8

$100,00 - $199,999

2237

3833

7.0

2087

6.4

854

7.9

$200,000 - $299,999

793

1213

7.8

653

7.3

314

7.6

$300,000 - $449,999

386

481

9.6

259

8.9

121

9.6

$450,000 - over

196

132

17.8

74

15.9

42

14.0

Canyon

Several

$0 - $99,999

943

1559

7.3

922

6.1

432

6.5

$100,00 - $199,999

763

1214

7.5

597

7.7

272

8.4

$200,000 - $299,999

109

86

15.2

40

16.4

14

23.4

$300,000 - $449,999

25

24

12.5

7

21.4

0

#DIV/0!

$450,000 - over

5

1

60.0

1

30.0

1

15.0

**N/A = Lack of Sales to Forecast

Below $99,999 does not included "0SLD" = Zero Sold Price or $1,000 Active (Auction) listings

 

Single Family with ACREAGE

Must have More than 1 Acre.

County

MLS Area

Current Active/Pend Listings

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

314

273

13.8

148

12.7

76

12.4

Canyon

Several

399

375

12.8

216

11.1

107

11.2

Gem

Several

99

71

16.7

46

12.9

23

12.9

Elmore

Several

68

34

24.0

20

20.4

8

25.5

Payette

Several

102

46

26.6

29

21.1

12

25.5

Single Family with ACREAGE - Date Range: 9/1/2009 - 8/31/2010. Intermountain MLS

County

City

Price Range

Active

12 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales
(Months)

6 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales
(Months)

3 Month Sales

Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales
(Months)

Ada

Several

$0 - $99,999

6

9

8.0

6

6.0

2

9.0

$100,00 - $199,999

26

49

6.4

28

5.6

11

7.1

$200,000 - $299,999

38

61

7.5

39

5.8

22

5.2

$300,000 - $449,999

89

77

13.9

44

12.1

23

11.6

$450,000 - over

154

68

27.2

26

35.5

14

33.0

Canyon

Several

$0 - $99,999

27

38

8.5

29

5.6

17

4.8

$100,00 - $199,999

128

133

11.5

77

10.0

37

10.4

$200,000 - $299,999

119

142

10.1

83

8.6

36

9.9

$300,000 - $449,999

85

57

17.9

26

19.6

17

15.0

$450,000 - over

38

4

114.0

1

228.0

0

#DIV/0!


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