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INVENTORY or ABSORPATION RATE A way to look how the homes are selling. How much do I have? I much did I use? Supply vs Demand. Simple.......right?
Appraisers call this Absorption Rate! The numbers below would be similiar for the 1004MC form appraiser use. (Learn more).
Another method is simple inventory, however it assumes all the active inventory will sell, which it does not. Therefore this method will slightly overstate the inventory, but is more accurate than using the DOM, or Cumulative DOM as reported in MLS. This method also counts the days from "Off Market" to "Close Date", however it will ALWAYS do this, therefore the trend is the same.
Note: Ada & Canyon is running about 40 days from "Off Market" to "Close Date"
MLS will provide the DOM of typically the LAST listing, not the 3 or 4 prior listings. This is more apparent in a downward market. I would like to share detail examples, but it violates IMLS rules and regulations. (per IMLS) However, agents which have access to IMLS can search the following addresses to understand the issue more.
1) 2301 W Hillway 2) 7490 N Waterlilly Ave. 3) 25933 Chandler Drive 4) 3272 S Quarterswing Way 5) 2030 W Havenwood Ave 6) 1862 Grand Teton 7) 12458 N Upper Ridge 8) 304 S Rivermont Ln
Another Simple Example.....As of 01/01/2012
Six Months Ada County Sales (3,205 sales) Avg DOM = 76 Median DOM = 41
Current Active Inventory in Ada County (2,403 listings) Avg DOM = 106 Median DOM = 75
Therefore, ACTIVE inventory is 39% higher than SOLD inventory. (106/76=139%) This shows, do not trust the DOM on sold inventory, it understates the "real" value.
Inventory is one key in understanding if a market is adding, reducing or holding steady. Inventory impacts days on the market (DOM), inventory along with the average sold price and average sales ratio are tools to understand the market.
Where does Ada County stand? Depends on what market. Ada County overall inventory as Jan 1, 2012 is about 4.9 months, just looking at single family homes, about 4.7 months. Keep in mind, this included the time from "Off Market Date" to "Close Date", which averages 40 days or 1.3 months.
On average, a single family home in Ada County is getting offers in 3.4 months, Canyon County is 3.1 months from list date to offer date.
Since "To Be Built" will distort the inventory, below is the summary data on 01/01/2012. Active Pending Percent Pending Ada 182 28 13% Canyon 77 6 10%

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Data Source : Intermountain MLS |
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Report Date: January 1, 2012 |
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Date Filter: 1/1/2011 - 12/31/2011 |
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www.hennesseyappraisals.com |
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County |
Status & Est Inventory |
TYPE OF LISTING |
TOTAL |
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Single Family |
Single Family with Acreage |
Condo |
Townhouse |
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Ada |
Sold |
6237 |
241 |
234 |
320 |
7032 |
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Active |
1807 |
135 |
112 |
89 |
2143 |
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Pending |
647 |
22 |
14 |
23 |
706 |
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Inventory* |
4.7 |
7.8 |
6.5 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
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Canyon |
Sold |
2902 |
367 |
0 |
73 |
3342 |
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Active |
738 |
144 |
2 |
16 |
900 |
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Pending |
321 |
63 |
0 |
3 |
387 |
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Inventory* |
4.4 |
6.8 |
N/A |
3.1 |
4.6 |
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*Estimated from 12 months sales. 12 Month Sales / (Current Active + Current Pending )= Inventory |
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Inventory Units = Months |
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Single Family Only |
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County |
MLS Area |
Current Active/Pend Listings |
12 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales (Months) |
6 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales (Months) |
3 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales (Months) |
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Ada |
Several |
2454 |
6237 |
4.7 |
3199 |
4.6 |
1447 |
5.1 |
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Canyon |
Several |
1059 |
2902 |
4.4 |
1374 |
4.6 |
625 |
5.1 |
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Gem |
Several |
55 |
151 |
4.4 |
73 |
4.5 |
36 |
4.6 |
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Elmore |
Several |
199 |
208 |
11.5 |
114 |
10.5 |
59 |
10.1 |
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Payette |
Several |
127 |
187 |
8.1 |
100 |
7.6 |
44 |
8.7 |
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Single Family Only - Date Range: 1/1/2011- 12/31/2011 Intermountain MLS |
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County |
City |
MLS Area |
Active / Pending |
12 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales (Months) |
6 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales (Months) |
3 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales (Months) |
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Ada |
Boise |
100 |
142 |
333 |
5.1 |
169 |
5.0 |
79 |
5.4 |
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200 |
83 |
190 |
5.2 |
104 |
4.8 |
48 |
5.2 |
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300 |
162 |
440 |
4.4 |
237 |
4.1 |
108 |
4.5 |
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400 |
156 |
449 |
4.2 |
232 |
4.0 |
96 |
4.9 |
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500 |
64 |
191 |
4.0 |
104 |
3.7 |
62 |
3.1 |
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550 |
249 |
573 |
5.2 |
295 |
5.1 |
133 |
5.6 |
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600 |
109 |
325 |
4.0 |
160 |
4.1 |
73 |
4.5 |
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650 |
205 |
654 |
3.8 |
341 |
3.6 |
149 |
4.1 |
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800 |
183 |
407 |
5.4 |
207 |
5.3 |
90 |
6.1 |
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Eagle |
900 |
197 |
391 |
6.0 |
198 |
6.0 |
89 |
6.6 |
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Star |
950 |
101 |
170 |
7.1 |
88 |
6.9 |
38 |
8.0 |
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Meridian |
1000 |
110 |
242 |
5.5 |
127 |
5.2 |
51 |
6.5 |
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1010 |
24 |
57 |
5.1 |
27 |
5.3 |
11 |
6.5 |
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1020 |
196 |
524 |
4.5 |
292 |
4.0 |
147 |
4.0 |
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1030 |
304 |
892 |
4.1 |
436 |
4.2 |
187 |
4.9 |
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Kuna |
1100 |
156 |
382 |
4.9 |
176 |
5.3 |
82 |
5.7 |
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Canyon |
Nampa |
1250 |
170 |
495 |
4.1 |
236 |
4.3 |
110 |
4.6 |
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1260 |
278 |
756 |
4.4 |
368 |
4.5 |
166 |
5.0 |
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1270 |
196 |
529 |
4.4 |
234 |
5.0 |
100 |
5.9 |
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Melba |
1265 |
3 |
10 |
3.6 |
4 |
4.5 |
3 |
3.0 |
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Caldwell |
1275 |
84 |
219 |
4.6 |
107 |
4.7 |
53 |
4.8 |
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1280 |
212 |
605 |
4.2 |
280 |
4.5 |
126 |
5.0 |
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Middleton |
1285 |
65 |
203 |
3.8 |
99 |
3.9 |
52 |
3.8 |
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Other |
1290 |
13 |
27 |
5.8 |
16 |
4.9 |
6 |
6.5 |
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Single Family Only - Date Range: 1/1/2011- 12/31/2011 Intermountain MLS |
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County |
City |
Price Range |
Active |
12 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales (Months) |
6 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales (Months) |
3 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales (Months) |
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Ada |
Several |
$0 - $99,999 |
343 |
1315 |
3.1 |
620 |
3.3 |
278 |
3.7 |
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$100,00 - $199,999 |
1198 |
3241 |
4.4 |
1680 |
4.3 |
768 |
4.7 |
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$200,000 - $299,999 |
508 |
1052 |
5.8 |
559 |
5.5 |
252 |
6.0 |
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$300,000 - $449,999 |
230 |
447 |
6.2 |
245 |
5.6 |
113 |
6.1 |
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$450,000 - over |
114 |
124 |
11.0 |
64 |
10.7 |
25 |
13.7 |
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Canyon |
Several |
$0 - $99,999 |
620 |
2096 |
3.5 |
978 |
3.8 |
450 |
4.1 |
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$100,00 - $199,999 |
355 |
694 |
6.1 |
344 |
6.2 |
153 |
7.0 |
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$200,000 - $299,999 |
43 |
66 |
7.8 |
32 |
8.1 |
18 |
7.2 |
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$300,000 - $449,999 |
10 |
8 |
15.0 |
5 |
12.0 |
3 |
10.0 |
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$450,000 - over |
2 |
0 |
N/A |
0 |
N/A |
0 |
N/A |
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Single Family with ACREAGE |
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Must have More than 1 Acre. |
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County |
MLS Area |
Current Active/Pend Listings |
12 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales (Months) |
6 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales (Months) |
3 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales (Months) |
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Ada |
Several |
200 |
299 |
8.0 |
160 |
7.5 |
74 |
8.1 |
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Canyon |
Several |
226 |
413 |
6.6 |
211 |
6.4 |
104 |
6.5 |
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Gem |
Several |
52 |
98 |
6.4 |
52 |
6.0 |
25 |
6.2 |
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Elmore |
Several |
53 |
42 |
15.1 |
25 |
12.7 |
16 |
9.9 |
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Payette |
Several |
61 |
56 |
13.1 |
26 |
14.1 |
10 |
18.3 |
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Single Family with ACREAGE - Date Range: 1/1/2011 - 12/31/2011. Intermountain MLS |
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County |
City |
Price Range |
Current Active/Pend Listings |
12 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 12 Months Sales (Months) |
6 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 6 Months Sales (Months) |
3 Month Sales |
Est Inventory using 3 Months Sales (Months) |
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Ada |
Several |
$0 - $99,999 |
2 |
18 |
1.3 |
10 |
1.2 |
4 |
1.5 |
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$100,00 - $199,999 |
27 |
60 |
5.4 |
27 |
6.0 |
14 |
5.8 |
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$200,000 - $299,999 |
36 |
68 |
6.4 |
40 |
5.4 |
20 |
5.4 |
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$300,000 - $449,999 |
45 |
86 |
6.3 |
51 |
5.3 |
21 |
6.4 |
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$450,000 - over |
81 |
67 |
14.5 |
33 |
14.7 |
16 |
15.2 |
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Canyon |
Several |
$0 - $99,999 |
21 |
77 |
3.3 |
43 |
2.9 |
21 |
3.0 |
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$100,00 - $199,999 |
71 |
167 |
5.1 |
80 |
5.3 |
41 |
5.2 |
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$200,000 - $299,999 |
71 |
123 |
6.9 |
67 |
6.4 |
33 |
6.5 |
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$300,000 - $449,999 |
33 |
44 |
9.0 |
21 |
9.4 |
9 |
11.0 |
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$450,000 - over |
14 |
3 |
56.0 |
1 |
84.0 |
1 |
336.0 |
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