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Master Merge - Lots of Data...just 1 Click!  < UPDATED 01/15/2012

HOW MUCH IS SELLING?

Updated
Chart 1


Monthly sold volume for Ada & Canyon County.  (SHOWN 4 WAYS)
Single Family, SF w/ Acreage, Townhouse, Condo
2009 - 2011.
  

1/13/2012
Chart 2


Monthly sold volume for Ada & Canyon County.
Single Family Only
2009 - 2011
  

1/13/2012

AT WHAT PRICE?

Chart 3


Average Monthly Sold Price
Single Family, SF w/ Acreage, Townhouse, Condo
Ada & Canyon County
2009 - 2011
  

1/13/2012
Chart 4


Average Monthly Sold Price  (SHOWN 3 WAYS)
Single Family Only
Ada & Canyon County
2009 - 2011
  

1/13/2012
Chart 5


Average Monthly Sold Price
Single Family Only

Ada, Canyon, Gem , Elmore, Payette, Washington
2009 - 2011
 

1/13/2012
Chart 6  


9 Counties
Single Family & Single Family w/ Acreage
Ada, Boise, Canyon, Elmore, Gem, Owyhee, Payette, Valley, Washington
2011 Average Sold Price    
 

1/13/2012

How much down from list price?

Chart 7 


Average Monthly Sales Ratio
Single Family
Ada & Canyon County
2009 - 2011

List Price / Sold Price = Sales Ratio
 

1/13/2012

Other Counties

Chart 9


Gem County
Single Family & Single Family w/ Acreage
Sales Ratio, Avg Sold Price, Amount Sold
2008  - 2011
 

12/13/2011
Chart 10


Elmore County
Single Family & Single Family w/ Acreage
Sales Ratio, Avg Sold Price, Amount Sold
2009 - 2011
 

12/13/2011

Compared to Previous Years?

Chart 11

 


Data Table- Sold Price by Type of Home
Single Family, SF w/ Acreage, Condo, Townhouse

Ada County
2005 - 2011  
 

1/13/2012
Chart 12


Graph -Average Monthly Sold Price
Single Family, SF w/ Acreage, Condo, Townhouse
Ada County
2009 - 2011
 

1/13/2012
Chart 13


Data Table- Sold Price by Type of Home
Single Family, SF w/ Acreage, Condo, Townhouse
Canyon County
2005 - 2011

1/13/2012
Chart 14


Graph- Average Monthly Sold Price
Single Family, SF w/ Acreage, Condo, Townhouse
Canyon County
2009 - 2011

1/13/2012

What County are the Sales in?

Chart 15


Last 12 Month Sales
Pie Graph for 9 Counties
Ada, Boise, Canyon, Elmore, Gem, Owyhee, Payette, Valley, Washington
 

1/13/2012
Chart 16


Sold Price Distribution
Last 12 Months Sales
Below $500,000
Ada & Canyon
 

1/13/2012
Chart 17


Average Quarterly Sold Price
Ada & Canyon County
Single Family Only
2001 - 2011 - BIG PICTURE
 

1/13/2012
Chart 18


Average Quarterly Sales Ratio
Ada & Canyon County
Single Family Only
2001 - 2011- BIG PICTURE
 

1/13/2012
Summary Data Tables
Chart 19

Average Monthly Sold Price
Single Family
Ada & Canyon County
By MLS Area
2008 - 2011

1/13/2012
Chart 20

Average Monthly Sold Price
Single Family with Acreage
Ada & Canyon County
By MLS Area
2008 - 2011

1/13/2012

TIME ADJUSTMENTS - SUPPORTING DATA                Updated 7/10/201

(For all you local appraisers, I did the math for you)

Method 1    Time Adjustments based on 3 Month Rolling Average Sold Price  (click to open)

   Pros: Most people like average and understand it.

   Cons: When working with smaller data sets (just one MLS Area, like Eagle) and when you
           
have a $3,000,000 sale (10 times the average sold price) it will skew the figures.  
          
          
 This is is why you must also consider the Meidan Sold Price.

 Green = Good, 0% or better

 Red = Bad. Less than 0%.

 ROLLING 3 MONTH AVERAGE


2011

2011

2011

2011

2011

2011

2011

2011

2011

MLS Defined Area

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

July

Aug

Sept

0.24%

-0.08%

-0.72%

-0.86%

-1.62%

-1.04%

-0.51%

0.30%

0.04%

North Boise - 0100

-0.67%

-0.88%

-1.89%

-0.21%

0.28%

0.50%

-0.56%

0.03%

0.38%

NE Boise - 0200

-0.07%

-0.28%

-0.84%

-1.08%

-1.72%

-1.00%

-0.73%

-0.32%

-0.15%

SE Boise - 0300

-1.42%

-2.18%

-2.04%

-1.20%

-0.30%

-0.58%

-0.68%

-1.25%

-0.30%

Boise Bench - 0400

-0.77%

-0.16%

-0.90%

-0.80%

-0.31%

-0.50%

-0.40%

-0.06%

-0.57%

South Boise - 0500

-1.01%

-0.69%

-0.92%

-1.18%

-1.44%

-1.30%

-0.48%

0.08%

0.42%

SW Boise-Meridian - 0550

-0.72%

-0.83%

-1.43%

-1.16%

-0.95%

-0.48%

-0.50%

-0.42%

-0.24%

W Boise-Garden City - 0650

-1.31%

-1.92%

-1.98%

-1.80%

-1.22%

-0.59%

-0.25%

-0.30%

-0.64%

West Boise - 0600

-0.02%

0.11%

-0.28%

-0.86%

-1.06%

-0.74%

0.22%

0.37%

-0.75%

NW Boise - 0800

0.48%

0.30%

0.58%

-0.80%

-0.30%

-0.80%

-0.08%

-0.38%

-0.07%

Eagle - 0900

-1.66%

-1.62%

-0.74%

-1.21%

-1.39%

-1.91%

-0.80%

0.25%

-0.02%

Star - 0950

-0.25%

-0.16%

-0.69%

-0.94%

-1.04%

-0.85%

-0.17%

0.43%

1.44%

SE Meridian - 1000

-0.89%

0.66%

1.09%

0.07%

-0.53%

-1.30%

0.14%

1.05%

1.11%

SW Meridian - 1010

-0.52%

-0.35%

-0.71%

-1.13%

-1.14%

-0.27%

0.06%

0.64%

0.45%

NE Meridian - 1020

-0.54%

-0.58%

-0.56%

-0.79%

-0.81%

-0.49%

-0.10%

-0.04%

0.15%

NW Meridian - 1030

-1.10%

-0.94%

-1.41%

-1.45%

-1.58%

-1.81%

-2.21%

-1.15%

-0.65%

Kuna - 1100

-1.02%

-1.18%

-1.29%

-1.35%

-1.06%

-0.52%

-0.39%

0.03%

0.65%

NE Nampa (87) - 1250

-1.27%

-1.24%

-1.08%

-1.18%

-1.01%

-0.94%

-1.38%

-0.88%

-0.76%

South Nampa (86) - 1260

-1.81%

-2.36%

-2.47%

-1.64%

-0.97%

-0.55%

-0.78%

-0.68%

-0.26%

NW Nampa (51) - 1270

-1.46%

-1.44%

-1.46%

-0.18%

-0.63%

0.30%

-0.47%

-0.24%

-1.25%

Middleton - 1285

-0.10%

-1.23%

-2.45%

-1.76%

-1.47%

-0.62%

-0.44%

-0.91%

-1.98%

NW Caldwell - 1275

-1.74%

-1.46%

-1.55%

-0.95%

-0.55%

-0.07%

-0.34%

-0.50%

-0.73%

SW Caldwell - 1280



Keep in mind, June-11  figure (MLS 0100 -1.04%) is based on the average sold price of;
 (((July-10 + Aug-10 + Sept-10)/3) / ((March-11 + May-11 + June-11)/3) -1 ) / 12

The formula is taking a rolling yearly quarterly average of the change in average sold price.

Method 1A  Time Adjustement Summary based on 3 Monthly Rolling MEDIAN Sold Price

   Pros: Removes the high and low swing.  Is very close to Average Sold Price with large data sets. 
           A more reliable method to show trend direction change with small data sets.

   Cons: Will not show when you have a handful of high price sales, such as over $1,500,000
           
when banks  liquidate REO inventory.

 

Quarterly Rolling Average
Ada County - Single Family
Monthly Change in Home Value

The Data
Ada County - Single Family
Monthly Sold Price
(This data makes the other tables data)

Average

Median

Average

Median

2008

Jan

-0.35%

-0.52%

2007

Jan

$ 255,265

$ 220,060

Feb

-0.53%

-0.57%

Feb

$ 266,239

$ 228,550

Mar

-0.78%

-0.68%

Mar

$ 257,317

$ 223,700

Apr

-0.99%

-0.93%

Apr

$ 259,389

$ 226,990

May

-1.03%

-1.00%

May

$ 276,706

$ 227,500

Jun

-0.74%

-0.85%

Jun

$ 274,421

$ 234,000

Jul

-0.65%

-0.69%

Jul

$ 276,982

$ 239,000

Aug

-0.49%

-0.46%

Aug

$ 271,499

$ 231,300

Sep

-0.51%

-0.39%

Sep

$ 261,007

$ 220,000

Oct

-0.45%

-0.46%

Oct

$ 265,214

$ 225,000

Nov

-0.42%

-0.64%

Nov

$ 252,389

$ 210,000

Dec

-0.73%

-1.01%

Dec

$ 247,906

$ 209,142

2009

Jan

-0.86%

-1.10%

2008

Jan

$ 249,855

$ 217,500

Feb

-1.08%

-1.12%

Feb

$ 245,317

$ 204,900

Mar

-1.26%

-1.18%

Mar

$ 239,143

$ 210,000

Apr

-1.39%

-1.28%

Apr

$ 245,030

$ 207,500

May

-1.32%

-1.38%

May

$ 237,090

$ 202,085

Jun

-1.24%

-1.28%

Jun

$ 255,845

$ 209,900

Jul

-1.19%

-1.18%

Jul

$ 242,544

$ 208,000

Aug

-1.26%

-0.98%

Aug

$ 234,378

$ 200,836

Sep

-0.96%

-0.80%

Sep

$ 242,145

$ 205,000

Oct

-0.96%

-0.79%

Oct

$ 233,446

$ 195,500

Nov

-0.77%

-0.97%

Nov

$ 229,708

$ 182,917

Dec

-0.81%

-0.87%

Dec

$ 207,131

$ 177,000

2010

Jan

-0.58%

-0.64%

2009

Jan

$ 217,738

$ 180,000

Feb

-0.64%

-0.41%

Feb

$ 202,869

$ 179,500

Mar

-0.67%

-0.59%

Mar

$ 205,492

$ 172,000

Apr

-0.84%

-0.79%

Apr

$ 204,061

$ 173,000

May

-0.80%

-0.92%

May

$ 207,391

$ 171,365

Jun

-0.76%

-0.65%

Jun

$ 200,993

$ 174,900

Jul

-0.27%

-0.29%

Jul

$ 200,432

$ 170,125

Aug

-0.06%

0.08%

Aug

$ 197,344

$ 170,000

Sep

0.06%

0.02%

Sep

$ 195,197

$ 162,000

Oct

-0.36%

-0.33%

Oct

$ 186,920

$ 157,000

Nov

-0.49%

-0.64%

Nov

$ 187,953

$ 155,000

Dec

-0.61%

-0.73%

Dec

$ 190,180

$ 164,000

2011

Jan

-0.53%

-0.79%

2010

Jan

$ 191,560

$ 165,000

Feb

-0.67%

-0.70%

Feb

$ 187,951

$ 162,250

Mar

-0.85%

-0.95%

Mar

$ 183,542

$ 155,000

Apr

-1.18%

-1.04%

Apr

$ 175,966

$ 149,950

May

-1.23%

-1.23%

May

$ 181,843

$ 153,433

Jun

-0.98%

-1.00%

Jun

$ 181,401

$ 159,700

Jul

$ 197,198

$ 159,000

Aug

$ 187,153

$ 160,000

Sep

$ 184,764

$ 158,000

Oct

$ 173,129

$ 147,025

Nov

$ 178,309

$ 148,300

Dec

$ 170,112

$ 144,500

2011

Jan

$ 164,257

$ 130,000

Feb

$ 163,746

$ 145,450

Mar

$ 156,028

$ 135,000

Apr

$ 160,992

$ 132,500

May

$ 165,560

$ 140,400

Jun

$ 175,692

$ 147,000

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec



In summary, this means in June 2011, the average sold price is dropping 0.98% per month or 11.76% per year.  

Method 2   Time Adjustments - Based on Match Pair 

(Same Home Selling Twice over Time)

                   
BOISE     EAGLE        MERIDIAN

Pros: Your comparing apples to apples.  Same address sold at two different times.  

Cons: Homes typically have over 1 year hold time, therefore it will lag in showing the trend, esp 
         in a steep downward market.    

         Hard to get information.

        
This is why the above Boise graph does not go "negative" until 2008.      

Method 3    Use Government Published Data

  Pros:  Easy to get.  No real work involved.

  Cons: Semi-generic. Not specific to an area, subdivision, MLS Area, type of home.

 

The data will SLIGHTLY change due to MLS "closed" date is not input into MLS sometimes 4 - 5 days after month end. I ususally pull the data 2 -3 days after month end, missing about 30 - 50 sales. Therefore months are updated mid-month. It will typically just change the "count", not the average sales price.

 

*This website contains raw data taken from IMLS. The information is edited and reviewed for format and context by Hennessey Appraisals.

The raw data obtained is accredited to Intermountain IMLS. The statistics , data analysis charts, graphs is done by Hennessey Appraisals.

No Individual Sold History data should be found on this Website. If an error did occur, please let Hennessey Appraisals know to fix the issue.

 


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